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Perch · $1M → $15M Scenarios

Building Backwards: $1M by end of Q1, then the ramp to $15M

You asked: is $1M too conservative, and is $1M→$15M in three months insane? Here's the math, laid out so we can pick a customer-makeup we can actually knock down domino by domino. Pricing uses our working ACV model — confirm before external use.

01 The ACV building blocks

Every scenario is built from these six tiers (annual contract value). Q1 = SMB + warm network, so the realistic Q1 blocks are GC Core, Sub Essentials, Sub Growth, with the occasional warm GC Pro.

TierACVSegmentQ1-realistic?
Sub Essentials$30KSmall subs 1–10 emp✅ core block
GC Core$42KSmall GCs <$25M rev✅ core block
Sub Growth$84KMid/larger SMB subs✅ "larger SMB" block
GC Pro$120KMid GCs $25–200M⚠️ warm intros only
Sub Enterprise$150KLarge/specialty subsQ2+
GC Enterprise~$400KLarge GCs $200M+ ($300–600K)Q2+

Pricing is a dial, not a constant — pressure-test it like Wiz.

02 Why $1M is the right Q1 number — and why $15M next isn't crazy

$1M in Q1 is deliberately conservative — because Q1 is about proving the motion, not scaling it.

$1M → $15M is ACV mechanics + headcount, NOT 15× the customers.

This is a living model — re-forecast revenue AND hiring in real time.

03 Four customer-makeup paths to $1M (end of Q1)

A · GC-heavy / small

The volume play

Lots of small GCs, a few small subs.
GC Core ×18$756K
Sub Essentials ×8$240K
$996K≈ $1M
26 logos · blended ACV ~$38K
Implication: highest logo count → heaviest PLG + SDR volume. Best if self-serve activation is smooth and the warm GC list is deep.
B · larger-SMB subs

The fewer-but-bigger play

A handful of larger SMB subs + a few small GCs.
Sub Growth ×8$672K
GC Core ×8$336K
$1.01M
16 logos · blended ACV ~$63K
Implication: fewer deals, bigger ACV → more AE-led, lighter SDR load. Best if the partner's larger subs convert. Fastest path if we can find the vertical.
C · balanced

The mixed book

Spread across GC Core + Sub Growth + Essentials.
GC Core ×10$420K
Sub Growth ×6$504K
Sub Essentials ×3$90K
$1.01M
19 logos · blended ACV ~$53K
Implication: diversified risk — tests which segment converts best so we know where to pour fuel in Q2.
D · lighthouse-led

The marquee play

Land 1–2 warm mid-market GCs as proof, fill with subs.
GC Pro ×2$240K
Sub Growth ×5$420K
GC Core ×8$336K
$996K≈ $1M
15 logos · blended ACV ~$66K
Implication: fewest logos, needs white-glove + warm intros. The 2 GC Pro logos become case studies that unlock Q2 enterprise.

04 Model your own mix

Change the counts — see the ARR build live against the $1M (Q1) and $15M (Q2) goals. This is the tool to find the domino we chase.

Customers & price by tier · edit both

ACV/yr ($K)# custs
$K
$K
$K
$K
$K
$K
$0
0 logos · blended ACV $0
vs $1M Q1 goal:
vs $15M Q2 goal:
Perch · CRO workspace · q1-scenarios Working ACV model · pre-launch · confirm before external use