You asked: is $1M too conservative, and is $1M→$15M in three months insane? Here's the math, laid out so we can pick a customer-makeup we can actually knock down domino by domino. Pricing uses our working ACV model — confirm before external use.
Every scenario is built from these six tiers (annual contract value). Q1 = SMB + warm network, so the realistic Q1 blocks are GC Core, Sub Essentials, Sub Growth, with the occasional warm GC Pro.
| Tier | ACV | Segment | Q1-realistic? |
| Sub Essentials | $30K | Small subs 1–10 emp | ✅ core block |
| GC Core | $42K | Small GCs <$25M rev | ✅ core block |
| Sub Growth | $84K | Mid/larger SMB subs | ✅ "larger SMB" block |
| GC Pro | $120K | Mid GCs $25–200M | ⚠️ warm intros only |
| Sub Enterprise | $150K | Large/specialty subs | Q2+ |
| GC Enterprise | ~$400K | Large GCs $200M+ ($300–600K) | Q2+ |
A · GC-heavy / small
The volume play
Lots of small GCs, a few small subs.
| GC Core ×18 | $756K |
| Sub Essentials ×8 | $240K |
$996K≈ $1M
26 logos · blended ACV ~$38K
Implication: highest logo count → heaviest PLG + SDR volume. Best if self-serve activation is smooth and the warm GC list is deep.
B · larger-SMB subs
The fewer-but-bigger play
A handful of larger SMB subs + a few small GCs.
| Sub Growth ×8 | $672K |
| GC Core ×8 | $336K |
$1.01M✅
16 logos · blended ACV ~$63K
Implication: fewer deals, bigger ACV → more AE-led, lighter SDR load. Best if the partner's larger subs convert. Fastest path if we can find the vertical.
C · balanced
The mixed book
Spread across GC Core + Sub Growth + Essentials.
| GC Core ×10 | $420K |
| Sub Growth ×6 | $504K |
| Sub Essentials ×3 | $90K |
$1.01M✅
19 logos · blended ACV ~$53K
Implication: diversified risk — tests which segment converts best so we know where to pour fuel in Q2.
D · lighthouse-led
The marquee play
Land 1–2 warm mid-market GCs as proof, fill with subs.
| GC Pro ×2 | $240K |
| Sub Growth ×5 | $420K |
| GC Core ×8 | $336K |
$996K≈ $1M
15 logos · blended ACV ~$66K
Implication: fewest logos, needs white-glove + warm intros. The 2 GC Pro logos become case studies that unlock Q2 enterprise.
Change the counts — see the ARR build live against the $1M (Q1) and $15M (Q2) goals. This is the tool to find the domino we chase.